Four years into Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the war has lasted longer than both world wars combined for Russia – and now the balance of power is shifting.
On the frontline, Russian advances have all but stalled. Drone warfare has transformed the battlefield, with Ukraine now striking deep inside Russia – hitting oil refineries, military infrastructure, and even targets near Moscow itself. The result has been fuel shortages across dozens of Russian regions, rising prices, and a war that ordinary Russians can no longer ignore.
FourSight speaks to military experts, a Russian journalist, a US senator, and our own correspondent reporting from the frontline in Kramatorsk, to answer the question dividing analysts: is Vladimir Putin actually losing this war – and if so, what happens next?
Thanks to: Professor Phillips O'Brien, Dr Hanna Shelest, Paraic O'Brien, Yevgenia Albats, Senator Chris Coons and Professor Mark Galeotti.
00:00 – Introduction: a fight longer than WW1
00:18 – The state of play on the frontline
02:37 – On the frontline with Paraic O'Brien
04:50 – Ukraine's drone revolution
06:02 – Casualties: the real cost for both sides
06:41 – Taking the war into Russia
09:40 – How Ukraine built its drone advantage
11:27 – Russia's response: softening or stalling?
12:05 – Ukraine's air defence crisis: Russia's "last advantage"
13:19 – Putin’s dilemma - the mobilisation question
13:58 – Inside the Kremlin: cracks among the elite
14:58 – Ukraine's own political turmoil
15:25 – Conclusion: what next with Professor Mark Galeotti
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Reporter: Kiran Moodley
Producer: Harriet Tatham
Editor: Matthew Lucas
Motion Graphics: Ian Watkins
Series Producer: Kieron Bryan
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